Covid restrictions may not be over in England once lockdown ends on December 2 which means any kind of normal Christmas has been thrown into doubt.
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) has released modelling and data which suggests measures will need to be in place throughout December.
That would mean restrictions remain over the Christmas period despite Prime Minister Boris Johnson insisting the festive season would be “as normal as possible”.
Without restrictions after December 2, Sage warns the virus could spread widely.
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And they are warning the tier system may not be enough to bring infections down, with calls for strict measures.
It remains to be seen what these are – but it would likely mean curbs on households mixing.
The report said: “The longer-term outlook depends on both the nature of [restrictions] that are implemented in England after December 2 and policies over the festive period.
“If England returns to the same application of the tiering system in place before November 5, then transmission will return to the same rate of increase as today.”
The news comes as Hull is facing the biggest health crisis in a generation as coronavirus grips the city tighter and tighter.
As cases soar and hospital beds fill, people are being urged to stay home while Hull looks to set to continue to top the table of the worst infection rate in the entire country.
The city is currently reeling from its deadliest week so far with 31 deaths over seven days along side a a huge spike in coronavirus cases during the second national lockdown. Read more.
On Saturday five more people have died in Hull’s hospitals after contracting coronavirus with three dying on Wednesday and one more on Thursday. Hull and East Yorkshire’s death toll now stands at 279.
Health bosses are labelling ‘a public health crisis’ where daily death rates are becoming consistently high.
On Saturday, Public Health Figures show Hull has seen a daily rise in coronavirus cases of 296 and an infection rate 3,019.5 per 100,000 of the of the population.
In the East Riding there was a rise in the last 24 hours of 243 cases and it has an infection rate of 2,339.3.